Archive

New Print Edition: Georgia Senate & Louisiana 4

November 25, 2008 · 12:29 AM EST

The November 24, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the…

New York Senate: GOP Would Have to Defy History to Take Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

While Republicans might be dreaming of picking off Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s (D) Senate seat if she resigns to become the next secretary of State, history shows the odds of that happening are not on their side.

If Clinton steps down from the Senate, New York Gov. David Paterson (D) would…

Louisiana 4: Fight to the Finish

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2008 · 2:01 PM EST

It’s a good thing that Louisiana voters are used to going to the polls in December. Even though the state junked the jungle primary for more traditional primaries, Hurricane Gustav pushed the races back a month. Now, voters will go to the polls in Northwest Louisiana’s 4th Congressional District…

Georgia Senate: Still On My Mind

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2008 · 2:00 PM EST

It’s not over yet. The 2008 election continues with a runoff election in Georgia. And Democrats must defeat Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) to have any chance of reaching the symbolic 60 seats in the Senate. But thanks to the ongoing recount in the Minnesota Senate race, the December 2 vote in the Peach…

Another Cycle, Another Bunch of My Misjudgments

by Stuart Rothenberg November 23, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

Like everyone who makes a living in the reporting and handicapping business, I made my share of mistakes this election cycle.

While I didn’t jump on the “McCain is toast” bandwagon during the summer of 2007, I didn’t really expect him to come back to win the Republican presidential nomination.…

2010 Senate Playing Field Likely to Grow

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 20, 2008 · 3:15 PM EST

After losing at least a dozen Senate seats over the last two election cycles, Republicans start the 2010 cycle on the defensive once again.

Republicans, and incoming National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn (Texas), will defend at least 19 seats this upcoming cycle compared…

Even in a Wave, Some Get Just What They Deserve

by Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

It isn’t easy being a candidate for Congress. It takes an unnatural amount of time and effort to put together a winning campaign, and even then, circumstances can conspire against a candidate who does everything right.

But being a confident candidate, even one with a credible campaign, doesn’t…

Arizona Senate: History Points to Another Term for McCain, if He Wants It

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 16, 2008 · 11:05 PM EST

If history is a guide, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) is well-positioned for another six years in the Senate, should he choose to run for re-election in 2010.

Democrats would love for outgoing Gov. Janet Napolitano (D) to run for McCain’s seat, but it’s unclear whether President-elect Obama will…

Illinois 5: Crowd of Candidates to Follow Emanuel’s Vacancy

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 15, 2008 · 10:05 PM EST

Chicago Democrats probably thought they wouldn’t see another Congressional vacancy for decades. But now that Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-Ill.) is stepping off the House leadership ladder to become White House chief of staff, a growing number of prospective candidates are sizing up a shot at his 5th…

Illinois Senate: Jackson Pushes Puzzling Poll

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 15, 2008 · 1:45 PM EST

There is nothing wrong with Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-Ill.) positioning himself for President-elect Barack Obama’s Senate seat, which Obama plans to relinquish on Sunday. But his new poll portraying him as the frontrunner to replace Obama is worthless.

The Zogby International poll of 802 likely…