Archive

Conway, Mongiardo Getting Nasty in Kentucky Race

by Stuart Rothenberg May 12, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

While national political reporters have been focused almost entirely on Kentucky’s GOP Senate primary, Democrats in the Bluegrass State have an entertaining race of their own that raises some interesting questions about money, message, media and November.

The early frontrunner in the Democratic…

Hawaii 1 moved to Lean Republican

May 10, 2010 · 11:33 PM EDT

With more polls confirming that two Democratic candidates are dividing the Democratic vote and the DCCC announcing that it will not invest any more resources into Hawaii’s 1st District, we’re moving the race to Lean Republican and expect Honolulu City Councilman Charles Djou (R) to win the special…

Indiana Senate: New Sheriff in Town?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 10, 2010 · 3:01 PM EDT

Democrats weren’t supposed to be worried about Indiana this year, since Sen. Evan Bayh (D) looked like a sure bet for reelection initially, even with a deteriorating national political environment.

But then Bayh shocked the political world by announcing his retirement, leaving Democrats…

Nevada Senate: Know When to Fold ’Em

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 10, 2010 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats are in danger of losing their second Senate majority leader in a decade.

Republicans knocked off South Dakota Sen. Tom Daschle (D) in 2004, but they did it with a popular former congressman who had previously been elected statewide. This year in Nevada, Senate Majority Leader Harry…

TX17: New GOP Poll Has Bad News for Chet Edwards

by Stuart Rothenberg May 10, 2010 · 8:00 AM EDT

A new Republican poll obtained by the Rothenberg Political Report shows ten-term Democratic Congressman Chet Edwards (Texas 17) trailing challenger Bill Flores (R) by a dozen points. But Edwards, who isn’t releasing his own survey, remains confident that he can turn the contest from a referendum…

FEC: Members Can Raise Soft Money for Redistricting Activities

May 9, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

After hours of discussion and a weeklong delay, the Federal Election Commission on Friday voted to allow Members of Congress to raise soft money for some redistricting activities.

In March, the National Democratic Redistricting Trust requested an advisory opinion about whether Members are…

Why Illinois Senate Is a Tossup but N.H. Isn’t

by Stuart Rothenberg May 7, 2010 · 1:51 PM EDT

Not long ago, my friends over at the Cook Political Report moved the Illinois Senate race from Tossup to Leans Republican, a significant development in my eyes.

Shortly after that development, my newsletter moved the New Hampshire Senate race from Tossup to Narrow Advantage for the incumbent…

DISCLOSE Act Would Alter Committees’ IEs

May 6, 2010 · 9:59 AM EDT

Democrats have proposed a new campaign finance reform bill to counter a controversial Supreme Court decision that enhanced the power of outside groups to run campaign ads, but a little-publicized provision in the legislation would dramatically alter how parties interact with candidates and give…

IL14: Hultgren Even With Foster in Own Poll

May 5, 2010 · 10:49 PM EDT

State Sen. Randy Hultgren (R) is in a statistical dead heat with Cong. Bill Foster (D), according to a new poll for the Republican’s campaign. A May 3-4 survey of 300 likely voters in Illinois 14th District by the Tarrance Group showed Hultgren with 45% and Foster 44% in a general election…

On, Wisconsin: Feingold Return No Sure Thing

by Stuart Rothenberg May 5, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

When former Wisconsin Gov. Tommy Thompson (R) announced recently that he wouldn’t enter the 2010 Senate race and challenge Sen. Russ Feingold (D), many of us crossed the state off our list of competitive races.

Maybe we were a bit premature.

Two more Republicans — former state Commerce…