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This week, we’re moving the Ohio and Missouri Senate races further toward the GOP, but that change doesn’t alter our overall estimate in the Senate. While there are enough Democratic-held states are “in play” to give the GOP a small chance of netting the 10 seats it needs to win a Senate…
With an avalanche of GOP polling showing dozens of Democratic incumbents at risk – including many that one would never expect – it’s getting hard to separate the truly vulnerable from the possibly at risk. While our overall outlook remains unchanged – Republican gains are most likely to fall in…
Republicans are still in good shape to gain governorships, while Democrats are trying to offset net losses by gaining in the biggest states. Democratic prospects improved over the last week in California (until a recent news story added another dose of uncertainty), slipped in Florida (as…
While the fight for the control of the House of Representatives is taking place on a battlefield that includes almost every state (Alaska and Wyoming are among the exceptions), four Congressional districts have emerged as early battlefields in the Independent Expenditures war being waged by the…
Democrats are pushing back these days with polls and political scenarios, trying to change the national narrative and force handicappers onto the defensive.
There is a Democratic mini-surge going on, we are told, as some campaigns produce poll numbers showing they have been prematurely written…
Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman suspended his campaign in New York’s 23rd District, dramatically improving the Republicans’ chances of winning back a seat they lost less than a year ago.
Democrat Bill Owens won the GOP open seat in a November 2009 special election after the GOP…