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Even in Wave Elections, Some Races Break the Other Way

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 31, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

Republicans who are privately hopeful that the party can beat conventional wisdom on Tuesday and net the 10 seats needed to take the Senate majority might want to talk to Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker.

The first-term Republican isn’t vulnerable; he isn’t even up for re-election for another two…

Big Gulf Between Parties on Spending Strategies

by Stuart Rothenberg October 30, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

Election Day is still five days off, but already Republican strategists are whispering that they outmaneuvered their Democratic counterparts.

The National Republican Congressional Committee and certain other GOP-allied groups adopted a reasonable but risky strategy, which proved effective.…

2010 Senate Overview (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:45 PM EDT

Republicans are still poised to gain 6-8 seats, though a huge GOP wave could yield one or two more. On the other hand, with a few breaks, Democrats could keep their losses down to 4 or 5 seats, which they’d no doubt argue was a moral victory. Significant Republican gains, however, are now…

2010 Senate Ratings (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:44 PM EDT

2010 House Overview (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:43 PM EDT

More than a few Democratic veterans of the political wars are now talking about their party suffering extraordinary losses of at least 60 seats. The problem that both they and we see is that dozens of Democratic incumbents are sitting under 50% in ballot tests (and often in the mid-40s), even…

2010 House Ratings (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:42 PM EDT

2010 Gubernatorial Overview (October 28, 2010)

October 28, 2010 · 11:41 PM EDT

While Democrats are bracing for huge losses in the House and the Senate, things actually could have been worse for the President’s party in gubernatorial races. Make no mistake, Republicans are going to gain governorships, but with California moving to a likely takeover and Democratic candidates…

Will the House Losses Be Bad or Horrendous?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 27, 2010 · 10:03 AM EDT

With a week to go until Election Day, House Democrats face the potential of a political bloodbath the size of which we haven’t seen since the presidency of Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

The largest midterm House loss for the president’s party during the last 50 years was 52 seats in 1994. The…