Archive

For Republicans, It’s a Matter of Head or Heart

by Stuart Rothenberg November 30, 2011 · 9:57 AM EST

Republicans are now chewing over their party’s potential presidential nominee for 2012, and a dramatic division has become apparent between GOP insiders and the grass roots. But it’s not primarily a difference of ideology, though there is an element of that. Instead, the split centers on…

The Rothenberg Political Report Hires National Journal’s Jessica Taylor

November 22, 2011 · 1:28 PM EST

The Rothenberg Political Report is pleased to announce the hiring of Jessica Taylor as Senior Analyst/Reporter.

Jessica is currently editor of National Journal’s House Race Hotline, a comprehensive summary of news, polls and political data on all 435 Congressional races. She also writes a…

2012 Senate Overview (November 18, 2011)

by Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2011 · 4:29 PM EST

The Senate has been “in play” for months, but Republicans continue to expand the playing field by adding unexpected candidates in states from Hawaii and Michigan to Connecticut – all states where the GOP shouldn’t even be in the ballgame.

Even if the races in those states don’t go down to the…

2012 House Ratings (November 18, 2011)

November 18, 2011 · 4:27 PM EST

Federal Court to Draw Texas Map

November 18, 2011 · 4:26 PM EST

The Department of Justice failed to pre-clear the Legislature’s new Congressional map, meaning a three-judge federal panel in San Antonio will draw the new district lines for the 2012 elections. Many observers now speculate that Democrats could secure three of the four new districts due to growth…

Olver Retirement Makes Massachusetts Map Easier

November 18, 2011 · 4:25 PM EST

Cong. John Olver (D) announced his retirement, making it easier to fit ten Democratic Members into nine seats, a necessity since the Bay State lost a district during reapportionment. Congs. Stephen Lynch and Bill Keating were drawn into the same district, but Keating quickly announced he’d run…

New Colorado Map Puts Coffman in Peril

November 18, 2011 · 4:24 PM EST

 A judge chose a Democratic map that suddenly puts GOP Cong. Mike Coffman (R) in electoral jeopardy. His 6th District dipped about eight points in GOP performance -- turning from a 61% Bush district in 2004 to a 53% Bush district. McCain received nearly 45% in the newly drawn district in 2008.

Cornilles, Bonamici Move to January Special General Election in Oregon’s 1st

November 18, 2011 · 4:23 PM EST

State Sen. Suzanne Bonamici (D) and businessman Rob Cornilles (R) prevailed in November 4 primaries in the special election to replace Democrat David Wu.

Neither result was a surprise, but Bonamici’s margin was particularly impressive. She received 65% against Brad Avakian (22%) and Brad Witt…