Inside Elections

2012 House Ratings (August 24, 2012)

August 24, 2012 · 2:56 PM EDT

Georgia Runoffs Paint Incomplete Picture

by Jessica Taylor August 22, 2012 · 10:26 AM EDT

Rep. John Barrow (D-Ga.) remains one of the most endangered incumbents in the country, but he also remains without a firm opponent, after Tuesday’s runoff failed to produce a clear winner.

With all precincts reporting in the 12th District GOP runoff, state Rep. Lee Anderson led businessman Rick…

Missouri Senate: Move to Pure Toss-up

August 21, 2012 · 2:48 PM EDT

Two weeks ago, we were preparing to move the Missouri Senate race from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican, if either businessman John Brunner or former state treasurer Sarah Steelman had won the GOP Senate primary on August 7 and the right to face Sen. Claire McCaskill (D).

Now, after…

2012 Senate Ratings (August 21, 2012)

August 21, 2012 · 2:47 PM EDT

First NRCC IE Ads Show Surprising Diversity

by Stuart Rothenberg August 16, 2012 · 5:14 PM EDT

The NRCC’s Independent Expenditure campaign will launch TV ads tomorrow in four districts currently held by moderate Democrats who survived the 2010 GOP wave, and the ads are surprisingly different from each other.

These initial ads are being released about a month earlier than they were aired…

Fun for Everyone in Florida, Connecticut, Minnesota, Wisconsin House Primaries

by Jessica Taylor August 15, 2012 · 1:22 AM EDT

Primary voters went to the polls in four states on Tuesday, solidifying general election contests and selecting new members in safe seats.

At least one member of Congress was going down in Florida’s primaries on Tuesday -- but in a surprise twist, it ended up likely being two.

In the 3rd…

Stage Officially Set for Competitive Senate Contests in Wisconsin, Florida, Connecticut

by Jessica Taylor August 15, 2012 · 1:19 AM EDT

In the Wisconsin Senate race, it’s officially a Tommy vs. Tammy showdown.

A topsy-turvy GOP primary came to a close on Tuesday, with former governor Tommy Thompson clinching what once seemed like an unlikely comeback bid more than a decade after he left office. Thompson took 34 percent in the…

2012 House Ratings (August 15, 2012)

August 15, 2012 · 1:06 AM EDT

Handicapping the Presidential Race: Watch the Samples and Weighting

by Stuart Rothenberg August 13, 2012 · 11:07 PM EDT

It’s time for another caution about polls and what they mean.

The most recent set of six CBS News/New York Times state polls conducted by Quinnipiac University and the latest Fox News national poll should remind us how important each survey’s sample is in understanding the ballot test.

A…

The Ryan Gamble

by Stuart Rothenberg August 11, 2012 · 10:34 AM EDT

My reaction to hearing that Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney would pick U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.) to be his running-mate was almost the same as when I heard John McCain had selected then-governor Sarah Palin (Alaska) to be his vice-president four years ago, though for very different…