Archive

Alaska Senate: Bridge to Victory

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 21, 2013 · 2:30 PM EDT

Democrats don’t win statewide in Alaska. At least not without some help.

Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) was elected to the Senate in 2008, a great Democratic year, against an incumbent senator under indictment. Begich is unlikely to have the same positive electoral environment in 2014, but he…

Illinois 13: The Voters of Madison County

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 21, 2013 · 2:29 PM EDT

The best laid plans almost worked to perfection in Illinois, where Democrats controlled the redistricting process and gained four seats in the 2012 elections. But the 13th District was the one that got away.

Republican Rep. Tim Johnson (R) surprised both parties by announcing his retirement…

Sea Change Ahead?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 21, 2013 · 2:28 PM EDT

Can a week of bad news remake the political environment so completely that what looked like a relatively neutral political environment, or one that might even favor Democrats slightly, be transformed into one that will likely benefit the GOP?

We won’t know for many months, but it is very clear…

Report Shorts (May 21, 2013)

May 21, 2013 · 2:27 PM EDT

California 15. State Senate Majority Leader Ellen Corbett (D) announced her challenge to Rep. Eric Swalwell (D) in this Northern California district. Some Democrats such as Corbett and Ro Khanna were preparing to run for this seat when Rep. Pete Stark (D) retired. But Swalwell took a chance and…

The Road to the Republican Senate Majority is Easier than You Think

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 20, 2013 · 9:30 AM EDT

Republicans don’t need to win a single state that Barack Obama won in 2012 in order to have a majority in the Senate after the midterm elections.

That means all of the analysis about Republicans’ inability to appeal to swing voters or wooing moderate Democrats in blue states could be pointless.…

A GOP Senate Switch in South Dakota Looks More Likely

by Stuart Rothenberg May 16, 2013 · 3:58 PM EDT

Former Democratic Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin’s announcement that she is passing on a Senate race in 2014, combined with secondhand reports that U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson (son of retiring South Dakota Democratic Sen. Tim Johnson) has also decided against a Senate bid, must have put big…

Obama’s New Political Reality Is Bad News for Dems in 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg May 16, 2013 · 9:37 AM EDT

Forget background checks and gun control, divisions within the GOP on immigration, and Republican intransigence on negotiating a budget deal with the president. The current triple play of Benghazi, the IRS and now the Justice Department’s seizure of journalists’ phone records has the potential to…

Why can’t Latinos get elected to the US Senate?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2013 · 2:00 PM EDT

Latinos are growing in population and electoral clout but can’t seem to grow their numbers in the U.S. Senate. And if Republican Gabriel Gomez doesn’t win next month’s special election in Massachusetts, it could be three more years before another Latino is added to the U.S. Senate.

Even though…

A Party Still in Denial?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 15, 2013 · 9:30 AM EDT

When a former GOP governor asked me the other day whether he would see another Republican elected to the White House in his lifetime, I asked him exactly how old he was.

Of course, I said, eventually there would be another Republican in the White House. It might even come soon. A Democratic…