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Candidate Conversation - Drew Ferguson (R)

May 19, 2016 · 2:52 PM EDT

Candidate for Georgia’s 3rd District

Interview Date: May 3, 2016

Date of Birth: Nov. 15, 1966; Langdale, Ala.

Education: Univ. of Georgia (1988); Medical College of Georgia (1992)

Political Office: Mayor of West Point (former)

Current Outlook: Ferguson is a credible contender for the 3rd…

Candidate Conversation - Martin Babinec (I)

May 19, 2016 · 2:51 PM EDT

Candidate for New York’s 22nd District

Interview Date: May 11, 2016

Date of Birth: March 1, 1955; Little Falls, N.Y.

Education: Shippensburg Univ. (1977); Herkimer County Community College (A.A.)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Babinec is a wild card in a…

Don’t Assume Paul Ryan Will be Speaker Next Year

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 19, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

Stu and I have been working together for nearly 15 years and any acute political instincts I’ve developed I owe to him. In many ways, we’ve morphed into the same mind, including our valuations of players in fantasy baseball. But after reading Stu’s column, “Ryan Rides to the Rescue — But Not Until…

Why House Democrats Need Trump to be President

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 16, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

Some Democrats are downright giddy about facing Donald Trump and his sizable unfavorable ratings in November. But the party may need to lose the presidential election in order to have a chance of controlling the House at some point over the next decade.  

If Hillary Clinton is elected president…

Clinton Starts with a Decisive Advantage

by Stuart Rothenberg May 13, 2016 · 9:30 AM EDT

The warnings about jumping to conclusions about November are widespread.

I’ve heard that it’s early in the presidential race and that we underestimated Donald Trump last time so we should be careful now. I’ve also heard that Trump’s strength with working-class whites could change the electoral…

Why California Members Embrace Incumbent Ballot Designation

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 10, 2016 · 10:08 AM EDT

With congressional job approval hovering in the low teens, giving incumbents the opportunity to choose three words to describe themselves, and to refer to their current office, might seem like asking them to choose the words for their tombstone. But it’s a biennial tradition for the California…

Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee. Now What?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2016 · 10:00 AM EDT

Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for president in 2016.  

Looking back for the answer to “How did we get here?” and forward to handicapping the general election, one word stands out: assumptions.

There was an assumption that once voters were reminded of any number of ways Donald Trump…