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2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Maryland - Ohio

September 29, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

MARYLAND. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%).  Feb. 27 filing deadline. June 26 primary. Unless GOP Gov. Larry Hogan decides to challenge Cardin instead of seeking re-election (which he’s not going to do), Republicans aren’t going to win this seat. In 2016, Clinton defeated Trump 60-34…

2018 Senate Overview (Sept. 9, 2017): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

September 29, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

PENNSYLVANIA. Bob Casey Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). March 6 filing deadline. May 15 primary. After Trump’s 49-48 percent win over Clinton and Sen. Pat Toomey’s re-election in 2016, there was some reason for GOP optimism about defeating Casey next year. But with Republicans struggling to…

Candidate Conversation - Paul Perry (D)

September 29, 2017 · 2:26 PM EDT

Candidate for Pennsylvania’s 7th District

Interview Date: Sept. 20, 2017

Date of Birth: Aug. 16, 1985; Norristown, Penn.

Education: American Univ. (2007); Univ. of California-Berkley (M.P.P, 2011); Harvard (Ph.D. 2014)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Perry starts…

2018 House Ratings (September 29, 2017)

September 29, 2017 · 2:24 PM EDT

Nine Thoughts After the Alabama Senate Runoff

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2017 · 9:56 PM EDT

A year ago, the idea that former Alabama supreme court justice Roy Moore would be elected to the U.S. Senate was absurd. But he took one giant step closer to that reality with a convincing victory over appointed-Sen. Luther Strange in Tuesday’s special Republican runoff. 

The recent result wasn’t…

LGBTQ Women Balance Opportunity, Possible Extinction in Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2017 · 9:41 AM EDT

It’s been almost 20 years since Tammy Baldwin’s historic election, yet just one woman has followed her through the LGBTQ glass ceiling. And if both women lose competitive races in 2018, the next Congress could be without any LGBTQ women.

While the lack of LGBTQ women in Congress is inextricably…

Alabama Senate Special: What’s Moore Strange Than a Democratic Opportunity in the South?

by Leah Askarinam September 15, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

BIRMINGHAM- What began as a controversial appointment to replace Republican Sen. Jeff Sessions has devolved into a confusing battle within the Republican Party.

Alabama Republicans selected former state Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore and appointed Sen. Luther Strange over a handful of candidates…

House Retirement Update: Republicans Head for the Exits

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 15, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

Don’t say we didn’t warn you. 

In the last issue, we wrote about the surprisingly few number of Members who have announced their retirement from the House this cycle. But since then, the retirement tide has started to swell.

Over the last 40 years, 22 Members, on average, have left Congress…

Kansas 2nd and 3rd:  A Sliver of Blue in Trump Country?

by Leah Askarinam September 15, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

At the moment, it’s good to be a Republican in Kansas. Since 2010, Republicans have won every statewide election and the GOP holds all six of Kansas’s federal offices, including both Senate seats and the state’s four congressional districts.

But President Donald Trump’s mediocre job rating will…