Inside Elections

2018 House Ratings (January 29, 2018)

January 29, 2018 · 1:30 PM EST

Watch the Polls, Ignore the Post-Shutdown Chatter

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2018 · 9:11 AM EST

Over the past few weeks, members of Congress, journalists and television hosts agreed on one thing: The looming government shutdown was a huge deal. Then, after the shutdown ended, those same people pontificated about who won and who lost, as well as about liberal dissatisfaction with the deal to…

Pennsylvania 7: How Do You Rate a Race for a Seat that Doesn’t Exist?

January 26, 2018 · 11:50 AM EST

The deep, dark secret of political handicapping is that there isn’t a singular equation that can project the winner of each congressional race. It is helpful to know who is running and where they are running. But thanks to the Pennsylvania Supreme Court throwing out the congressional map and GOP…

2018 House Ratings (January 26, 2018)

January 26, 2018 · 11:49 AM EST

It’s a Blue House Wave, but Not Yet a Senate One

by Stuart Rothenberg January 23, 2018 · 8:49 AM EST

“The odds are greater than half we will take back the Senate.” — Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” last week.

Democrats ought to temper their optimism about the fight for the Senate this year.

Yes, Doug Jones’ victory in Alabama’s special election gives…

9 Things to Know about Pennsylvania’s 7th District Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 22, 2018 · 12:00 PM EST

Republican Rep. Pat Meehan of Pennsylvania is the latest Member hit with allegations of sexual misconduct, putting his suburban Philadelphia seat at even more risk of a Democratic takeover. 

GOP Leadership removed Meehan from the Ethics Committee within hours of the initial New York Times report…

2018 House Ratings (January 22, 2018)

January 22, 2018 · 11:59 AM EST

Arizona 8 Special: Franks’ Resignation Opens Up Republican Seat

by Leah Askarinam January 19, 2018 · 2:30 PM EST

Republicans looking to rebound from a historic special election loss in Alabama might look to Arizona’s 8th District.

In December, a female staffer reported that GOP Rep. Trent Franks pressured her to be a surrogate for the congressman and his wife, allegedly offering her $5 million. Franks…

It’s OK to Pause Before Declaring a Wave

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2018 · 2:29 PM EST

A massive Democratic tsunami could be developing and hit the country this November, wiping out Republicans in a historic rout. It could be the biggest, most luxurious electoral wave in the history of the country. It feels like everyone is certain of it. 

But I’m uncomfortable declaring that I know…

Ohio 12 Special: Democrats and Republicans Seek Tiberi’s Seat

by Leah Askarinam January 19, 2018 · 2:28 PM EST

GOP Rep. Pat Tiberi’s decision to leave Congress to lead the Ohio Business Roundtable opens up the 12th District for the first time in 17 years. 

For Republicans, it’s an opportunity to elect a candidate in the vein of term-limited Gov. John Kasich and the former congressman, who are regarded as…