Archive

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

ARIZONA. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. The most recent NBC/Marist Poll is the latest in a series of September surveys that finds Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema narrowly leading GOP Rep. Martha McSally. Since a Sept. 5 OH Predictive Insights poll found the Republican congresswoman…

House Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has at least a narrow advantage over Republican Lea Marquez-Peterson in the race for the open seat. Republicans love their candidate and the NRCC is spending some money on the race. But…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Democratic Blueprint. At a press conference Sept. 18, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, called the current cycle of gubernatorial races a “generational election” and an opportunity to rid of the “scourge of gerrymandering.”  In our last gubernatorial…

Candidate Conversation - Janet Garrett (D)

September 28, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

Ohio’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Sept. 6, 2018

Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; Troy, Ohio

Education: Kent State (1995; Master’s 1980)

Elected Office: 4th District nominee (2014, 2016)

Current Outlook: In a district where Hillary Clinton couldn’t break 31 percent,…

2018 House Ratings (September 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:25 PM EDT

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2018 · 10:42 AM EDT

After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from…

What 39,000 Words in 15 Profiles Didn’t Tell You About Beto O’Rourke

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2018 · 10:01 AM EDT

I’m pretty sure three new profiles of Texas Democrat Beto O’Rourke have been published in the time it took me to write this lede. Yet the only thing more remarkable than the sheer volume of stories written about the congressman is that none of them put his 2012 House victory in proper context.

I…

2018 Election Preview: It’s All Over But the Campaigning

September 14, 2018 · 3:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

After nearly two years of campaigning, 52 days is still plenty of time for the midterm elections to develop.

Most of the races are finally fully engaged and the rest of September will be the proving ground for the effectiveness of GOP attack ads. If…