Archive

Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 1, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher May 1, 2020 · 12:15 PM EDT

With the Democratic primary in the rearview mirror, we can focus on the matchup between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden with a clear conscience.

Over the next six months, there will be a flurry of head-to-head polls, and handicapping the general election will assuredly rely upon public…

Michigan 3: Amash Exit Makes Seat Less Vulnerable

April 29, 2020 · 3:47 PM EDT

There’s no love lost between Justin Amash and House Republicans, but the Michigan congressman gave the GOP a parting gift with his run for president.

Amash’s departure from the Republican Party last year decreased the number of seats Republicans currently control in the House by one and increased…

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 29, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin April 29, 2020 · 11:03 AM EDT

Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that. 

But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage -- due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors -- that their path to…

COVID-19 Just Latest Challenge for Health Care Polling

by Bradley Wascher April 27, 2020 · 11:45 AM EDT

We are in rarely charted territory, but not for the most obvious reason. With the COVID-19 pandemic having upended every facet of our society, regular public polling data is now being used as both a measure of public opinion and a lagging indicator of economic and epidemiological trends.

2020 Gubernatorial Overview (April 23, 2020): Finally in the Spotlight

by Jacob Rubashkin April 23, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Coronavirus has governors across America adjusting to a role unfamiliar to most of them: national prominence. With the White House sending delayed, hands-off, and often contradictory messages on how to respond to the coronavirus, governors have become the leading players in politics and the media,…

Illinois 14: The Underwood Overview

by Jacob Rubashkin April 23, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

The 2018 race in this wealthy Illinois district just west of Chicago was one of the fastest-moving in the country. As late as September 13, the race was rated Solid Republican. But over the subsequent six weeks, the race broke against four-term Republican Rep. Randy Hultgren. On November 5,…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Florida

by Ryan Matsumoto April 23, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

One of the first danger signs for Hillary Clinton on election night 2016 was when Donald Trump took and maintained the lead in Florida. As Democrats strategize about which states they can flip four years later, Florida is near the top of the list as a state with 29 electoral votes that voted for…