Senate News & Analysis

California Senate: Boxer’s Retirement Complicates Contenders’ Plans to Move Up the Ladder

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 20, 2015 · 2:28 PM EST

Democrat Barbara Boxer’s retirement sets up the first open Senate seat in California in over 20 years, but it’s not quite the right timing for some ambitious politicos. 

For an open seat in a Democratic state, the Democratic field has narrowed quickly. State Attorney General Kamala Harris is running…

Report Shorts (February 20, 2015) California 44, Mississippi 1, Missouri Senate

February 20, 2015 · 2:26 PM EST

California’s 44th District. Democratic Rep. Janice Hahn is running for an open seat on the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors and not seeking re-election in 2016. Her seat is not at risk of falling into Republican hands. State Sen. Isadore Hall (D) is running and has Hahn’s support. 

Other…

Ohio Senate: Portman Shifts from Offense to Defense

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 6, 2015 · 2:00 PM EST

Ohio Sen. Rob Portman was a key part of the Republican effort to take back the Senate majority in 2014 by raising money to get others elected. Now he’s a critical part of keeping the majority by getting re-elected. 

On one hand, the path back to the Senate majority…

When Activists Run for Office

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 5, 2015 · 10:03 AM EST

Spending time, energy and money on campaigns is one thing. But some political activists go a step further, contemplating whether to become a candidate themselves.

California could see two such cases in the next few years, with environmentalist Tom Steyer and Daily Kos founder Markos Moulitsas potentially finding themselves…

Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 2, 2015 · 10:59 AM EST

Republicans and Democrats can’t agree on much of anything these days, but strategists on both sides of the aisle love to talk about Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst’s victory.

Two years ago, Ernst was a little-known GOP state senator from Southwest Iowa. She entered the national spotlight with a Continue Reading

First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2015 · 9:30 AM EST

For Republicans, the fight for control of the Senate in 2016 is all about playing defense.

Unlike 2014 (and 2018), the Senate races of 2016 offer few, if any, opportunities for the GOP as the election cycle begins. The map strongly favors Democrats and suggests the possibility of considerable…

Report Shorts (January 23, 2015) California Senate, Iowa Senate, Pennsylvania Senate

January 23, 2015 · 1:31 PM EST

California Senate. Since our last issue, state Attorney General Kamala Harris (D) announced her candidacy in the race to replace retiring-Sen. Barbara Boxer (D). Harris won’t necessarily clear the field, but she is a top contender for the seat. On Thursday wealthy environmental activist Tom Steyer declined to run, but…

Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’

by Stuart Rothenberg January 19, 2015 · 9:30 AM EST

Most emails I receive are fundraising propaganda easily ignored, since they aren’t strong on accuracy or thoughtfulness. Instead, they merely seek to incite and anger — and to get people to open their checkbooks to stop the forces of evil.

But the Monday email I received from the Progressive…

Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 12, 2015 · 8:30 AM EST

Events matter in politics and, for a change, they potentially seem to offer a bit of aid and comfort to President Barack Obama in his upcoming battle with the Republican-controlled Congress.

After an impressive across-the-board victory that included a new Senate majority, gains to the party’s House majority and…

2016 Senate Overview: Republicans Start on the Defensive

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 9, 2015 · 1:34 PM EST

Mitch McConnell is just getting settled into the Senate Majority Leader’s office but Democrats are determined to make sure it’s a short stay.

The GOP rushed to a nine-seat gain and the Senate majority in 2014 by ensuring that the best candidates won competitive primaries, cultivating challengers to take…