Senate News & Analysis

Report Shorts (May 5, 2023)

May 5, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Maryland Senate. Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin announced he will not seek re-election, setting up a competitive Democratic primary to replace him. Rep. David Trone is running, as is Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando. Rep. Jamie Raskin says he’ll take May to decide. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is likely…

2024 Senate Overview: Three’s Company

April 21, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, and Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans have yet another good opportunity to win control of the Senate in 2024. They just need some strong candidates to do it.

Considering the favorable Senate battlefield, narrow Democratic majority, and an unpopular Democratic president in the White House, GOP…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Arizona - Maine

April 21, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Several unknown factors make it difficult to forecast Arizona’s upcoming Senate race.

The incumbent senator has yet to announce her 2024 plans. Sinema’s $2.1 million fundraising haul this past quarter provides more evidence that she’s seriously considering…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

April 21, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%), 2018 (65%). Filing deadline Jan. 19. Cardin said in January he’d announce his plans in February or March, but he’s been mum since. However, he raised just $15,000 in the first three months of 2023, a paltry sum that set off…

2024 Senate Overview (April 21, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

April 21, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline Feb. 2024. Democrats can breathe a sigh of relief now that Casey has announced his 2024 campaign. The longtime senator and son of Pennsylvania Gov. Bob Casey Sr. has a last name that’s worth political gold,…

Report Shorts (April 7, 2023)

April 7, 2023 · 1:28 PM EDT

Arizona's 1st District. The field of Democrats attempting to unseat GOP Rep. David Schweikert is shaping up. Jevin Hodge, who came less than 1 point away from defeating Schweikert last cycle, announced that he won’t run in 2024. Since then, Democratic state Rep. Amish Shah and  former state party chairman…

Florida Senate: A Cloudy Forecast for Democrats

by Erin Covey April 4, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

Rick Scott has never won an election by more than 1.2 points, but Florida’s rapid shift rightward has left Democrats in a dismal position to challenge the Republican senator as he prepares for his 2024 re-election campaign.

The GOP has been gaining ground in the Sunshine State for the past…

How Trump’s Legal Problems Could Affect Down Ballot Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2023 · 1:39 PM EDT

Even if legal problems don’t hinder former President Donald Trump’s political comeback attempt, they could hurt other Republican candidates on the ballot in 2024. 

Republicans won’t have to reckon with the electoral ramifications of Trump’s indictment for now. But much of the short-term analysis (or more specifically, the overall Republican…

The ‘Nepo Babies’ of the Senate

by Jacob Rubashkin March 29, 2023 · 12:30 PM EDT

The U.S. House of Representatives is filled with members whose family connections bolstered their congressional careers — but the more august Senate isn’t immune either.

Earlier this month, Inside Elections explored the family political ties boasted by many members of the House. Taking inspiration from a New York

Ohio Senate: The Battle for the Buckeye State

by Erin Covey March 24, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

Sherrod Brown is the last Democrat standing in Ohio, once a bellwether state that now has a clear conservative bent. 

The senator has been involved in Democratic politics in Ohio since 1974, when the 21-year-old was first elected to the state House. Fifty years later, Brown has an established brand…