Redistricting News & Analysis
It’s no surprise that Colorado will feature a pair of competitive congressional races next year, but the new map radically changed one GOP incumbent’s prospects by turning his safe seat into one of the most competitive districts in the country.
Republicans hold a 4-3 advantage in the congressional…
The Department of Justice failed to pre-clear the Legislature’s new Congressional map, meaning a three-judge federal panel in San Antonio will draw the new district lines for the 2012 elections. Many observers now speculate that Democrats could secure three of the four new districts due to growth in the…
Cong. John Olver (D) announced his retirement, making it easier to fit ten Democratic Members into nine seats, a necessity since the Bay State lost a district during reapportionment. Congs. Stephen Lynch and Bill Keating were drawn into the same district, but Keating quickly announced he’d run for the…
A judge chose a Democratic map that suddenly puts GOP Cong. Mike Coffman (R) in electoral jeopardy. His 6th District dipped about eight points in GOP performance -- turning from a 61% Bush district in 2004 to a 53% Bush district. McCain received nearly 45% in the newly drawn…
Aside from House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s (Calif.) prediction to ABC News back in early June that her party had “a very good chance of winning the House,” national Democrats have been cautious about predicting a takeover next November.
That’s the way it should be, of course, given…
Democrats passed a new congressional map that puts long-time Cong. Roscoe Bartlett’s (R) electoral career on life-support.
Early on it looked like Democrats would target freshman Cong. Andy Harris (R), but his Eastern Shore district looks safe. Meanwhile, Bartlett went from having a miniscule portion of Montgomery County,…
A court finally drew a map after legislators couldn’tdecide on a compromise and Democrats should be pleased.
Nevada gained a seat during reapportionment and the new lines give Democrats an opportunity to win three of the state’s four seats.
Cong. Mark Amodei (R), who just won a…
Republicans passed a new congressional map that puts Democratic Cong. Jim Matheson (D) in jeopardy.
Matheson’s been in Republican districts before but now Republicans are giving him new territory. The Democratic congressman ruled out running for the U.S. Senate, leaving a gubernatorial run, re-election, or retirement as his…
For years now, I’ve been running lists of vulnerable open seats and incumbents, so there is no reason to wait until all states have completed redistricting. Here are the most vulnerable incumbents who are currently planning on seeking re-election. One caveat: I have excluded incumbents running against incumbents, whether…
Instead of trying to increase their numbers in the state’s Congressional delegation, Oho Republicans have agreed to a plan that could take at least three and potentially four competitive U.S. House seats off the table, possibly solidifying their control of the delegation for the next decade.
The key…