It is three weeks before Election Day and a handful of incumbents are already seeing the writing on the wall. They won’t be coming back to Congress. It’s time to look for other gainful employment or merely enjoy the quiet pleasures of forced retirement.
North Carolina Democratic Rep.…
Veteran Democratic Rep. John Tierney (D) is up with a good TV spot addressing his family’s legal problems, but it looks like too little, too late. Tierney has cancelled his final weeks of TV, and polls show him trailing challenger Richard Tisei (R), who we have regarded for months…
Ten days ago, Republican strategists seemed confident about their party’s ability to hold the House but started showing some signs of nervousness about their ability to withstand a disaster at the top of the ticket. But now, Mitt Romney’s resurgence has them feeling more comfortable -- even giddy --…
Each cycle, my goal as a handicapper is to identify Congressional races where the result will mean a partisan takeover, not merely where the outcome will be close.
To some, this may seem like an odd distinction. After all, if an election is close — within a few…
With a month to go before the election, we are changing our ratings for a handful of House races but see no reason to alter our overall assessment that Republicans are likely to retain their majority in November.
The two parties are looking at some very…
Conservative thinker William Kristol and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee usually don't see things the same way, but they seem to agree that the House of Representatives is "in play."
The Weekly Standard's Kristol raised that possibility, albeit with a few caveats, more than a week ago in…
Publicly, Democrats insist that the House is “in play,” touting national polling that shows their party leading by a few points on the generic ballot. While President Obama and Senate Democrats appear to be gaining an advantage, a district-by-district analysis of the House continues to show Republicans well-positioned to…
Looking for clues about November? If so, you might keep your eyes on a handful of House incumbents seeking re-election. Their fate could tell you a great deal about the mood of the voters, the ability of candidates to separate themselves from the top of the ticket and the…
While their chances of holding the White House and the Senate might be improving, Democrats still face long odds in their effort to retake the majority in the House.
Democrats need to gain 25 seats but are still hindered by spending money defending some of their…
Democrats started licking their chops moments after Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney announced that he had selected Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan to be his running mate.
Whether the reaction came from the national party's House and Senate campaign committees, President Barack Obama's re-election campaign or individual Democratic campaigns…
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