House News & Analysis

RPR Report Shorts (Florida 19, Louisiana 5, New York 24, West Virginia 2)

November 26, 2013 · 3:28 PM EST

Florida 19. Freshman GOP Rep. Trey Radel pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor charge of cocaine possession in Washington, D.C. He was sentenced to one year of probation and announced he would take a leave of absence in order to seek treatment.

At this point, it looks like GOP…

Republicans at Risk of Losing West Virginia’s 2nd District

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 22, 2013 · 10:55 AM EST

Democrats recruited West Virginia State Auditor Glen Gainer to run in the 1st District in the aftermath of the government shutdown. But the party’s best opportunity in the state might be in the 2nd District, with a candidate that some national strategists were wary of earlier this year.

The Most Divided House District in New York

by Stuart Rothenberg November 20, 2013 · 9:18 AM EST

Last month I wrote about a handful of interesting Democratic House candidates I had recently interviewed, but I did not include Martha Robertson, who is challenging GOP Rep. Tom Reed in New York’s 23rd District.

Most of those Democrats either had no record or seemed prepared to…

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 19, 2013 · 10:08 AM EST

Virtually every House Democrat listed as vulnerable by The Rothenberg Political Report voted for Republican Michigan Rep. Fred Upton’s Keep Your Health Plan Act.

Two vulnerable Democrats voted against the bill: Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona and John F. Tierney of Massachusetts.

Overall, 39 Democrats joined with the…

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

by Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2013 · 9:24 AM EST

No wonder some Democratic strategists are nervous about the next few weeks.

President Barack Obama’s job approval numbers have taken a dive in two recent polls, and party insiders fear that every other poll released in the foreseeable future will show that the rollout of the president’s health…

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 12, 2013 · 10:23 AM EST

We all know that candidates and members don’t have to live in a House district in order to run or even represent that area. And I’ve written about a number of top-tier Democratic hopefuls this cycle who don’t live in the district where they are campaigning.

But…

Nebraska 2: Mr. Terry’s Wild Ride

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 8, 2013 · 3:29 PM EST

With Lee Terry it’s either feast or famine. The Republican congressman has represented Nebraska’s 2nd District for over a dozen years and each re-election seems to be either a laugher or a barnburner.

Every two years, Terry seems to do just enough to earn another term. But Democrats…

RPR Report Shorts (New Jersey 3, Alabama 1, North Carolina 6)

November 8, 2013 · 3:28 PM EST

Alabama’s 1st District. Well-funded establishment candidate Bradley Byrne won Tuesday’s GOP primary runoff, 52 percent to 48 percent, over under-funded anti-establishment candidate Dean Young in the special election to replace former Rep. Jo Bonner (R). Byrne is the heavy favorite to win the December 17 special general election in…

Victory Is in the Eye of the Beholder in New Jersey, Virginia and Alabama

by Stuart Rothenberg November 8, 2013 · 9:51 AM EST

Tuesday’s election results offer something for everyone.

Democrats can look at Virginia and conclude that Republican “extremism” on social issues like abortion, contraception and guns, combined with the deep divisions that appeared in the Alabama 1st District GOP primary results, continue to offer them opportunities for 2014 and…

New Jersey’s 3rd District Now Open, Now a Tossup

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2013 · 2:32 PM EST

GOP Rep. Jon Runyan’s retirement takes New Jersey’s 3rd District from the outskirts of the competitive race conversation to close to the epicenter.

Democrats have had their eye on the seat, considering President Barack Obama carried the district with 52 percent, although Runyan didn’t look particularly vulnerable. But…