Republican Rod Blum took over a Democratic open seat last year in a late-breaking race. But even some GOP strategists aren’t quite sure what to make of the Iowa congressman’s first few months in office. The only thing certain is that the 1st District will be a top Democratic…
Florida Senate. Democratic National Committee Chairwoman/Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz announced on Tuesday that she will seek re-election and not run for the Senate. Former GOP Governor/2014 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Charlie Crist also announced he isn’t running for the Senate either. Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy appears close to jumping in. Reps.…
Tennessee Rep. Scott DesJarlais was an unlikely survivor in his 2014 Republican primary, but his next electoral challenge may already be on the horizon.
Grant Starrett, a young aide on both of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaigns, is contacting donors in advance of a potential run in the 4th District,…
Democrats pulled off a special election upset in a conservative Mississippi district back in 2008, but can they do it again?
Seven years ago, moderate Democrat Travis Childers took advantage of a divided Republican Party and some unique timing to take over the seat vacated by GOP Rep. Roger…
Republicans scored big gains in the 2010 and 2014 elections because both of those midterms were about President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party. Democrats had successful elections in 2006, 2008 and 2012 primarily because they made those elections about the GOP and George W. Bush, John McCain and…
GOP Rep. Chris Gibson shocked the Hudson Valley by announcing his retirement from Congress after just three terms. But even though he is leaving behind a competitive open seat in New York’s 19th District, there hasn’t exactly been a stampede of candidates ready to jump into the race. Why…
California’s 44th District. Democratic Rep. Janice Hahn is running for an open seat on the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors and not seeking re-election in 2016. Her seat is not at risk of falling into Republican hands. State Sen. Isadore Hall (D) is running and has Hahn’s support.
Other…
You might think the best way to understand Mississippi’s upcoming 1st District special election to fill the late Rep. Alan Nunnelee’s seat is to examine the 2008 special election in the same district. After all, that previous special election to fill the seat left open by Roger Wicker’s…
I never pay too much attention to early polls, since snapshots of a race more than 18 months before Election Day can be misleading.
And political parties ought to be careful about crowing too loudly about early polls for fear someone will look too closely into them.
A Feb.…
Special elections matter, but not for the reasons you might think.
It’s an annual sport in politics: arguing whether special elections serve as bellwethers. But while special elections often poorly portend results around the country, they can produce potential leaders. They’re also excellent predictors of voter behavior inside that…
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