House News & Analysis

2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Alabama - Illinois

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2015 · 4:59 PM EDT

Arizona 
1st District (Open; Kirkpatrick, D). The U.S. Supreme Court upheld the state’s nonpartisan redistricting commission’s authority and the congressional map will remain in place. Whether she thought her district was going to change or she was just tired of being constantly in electoral danger, Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick…

2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Indiana - New Jersey

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2015 · 4:58 PM EDT

Indiana
3rd District (Open; Stutzman, R). Marlin Stutzman’s Senate run opens up a Republican seat in northeastern Indiana. State Sens. Jim Banks and Liz Brown are running along with former Wisconsin state Sen. Pam Galloway, who moved to the area a few years ago. Wealthy agribusinessman Kip Tom is…

2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) New Mexico - Wyoming

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2015 · 4:57 PM EDT

New York
1st District (Zeldin, R). Lee Zeldin defeated Democratic Rep. Tim Bishop last year and instantly became a top takeover target. Democrats are headed for a competitive June primary between Southampton Town Supervisor Anna Throne-Holst and Suffolk Planning Commission Chairman David Calone. Throne-Holst ($503,000 on hand on June…

Democrats, Party Switchers and the Ghost of Ed Jany

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 7, 2015 · 7:53 AM EDT

Former Republican state Sen. Tom O’Halleran announced Tuesday he was running as a Democrat in Arizona’s 1st District. It’s not the first time party strategists have crossed the aisle to recruit, and O’Halleran isn’t even the only party-switcher running this cycle.

Last cycle, Democratic strategists cleared the primary…

A Brief Electoral History of Recently Indicted Congressmen

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 31, 2015 · 10:32 AM EDT

It might be easy to scoff at Democratic Rep. Chaka Fattah of Pennsylvania for talking about his re-election bid on the same day he faced a 29-count indictment on corruption charges, but the most recent members of the House to be indicted held their own at the ballot…

Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 23, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

It’s no secret that hair was the source of Samson’s strength. But unlike the Old Testament Nazirite, one potential congressional challenger is hoping less could mean more at the ballot box.

Republican Stewart Mills might have the most talked about hair in politics, second only to Donald Trump. Last cycle,…

Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 6, 2015 · 11:00 AM EDT

Republican Rep. Joe Heck’s decision to run for the Senate is no surprise, but now that he is officially in the race, we are changing our rating in two Nevada races. 

The race for Democratic Sen. Harry Reid’s open seat was already competitive, but Republican chances improve slightly with Heck’s…

Pennsylvania 6: Suburban Districts Elude Democrats

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 2, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

It’s hard to see how Democrats get anywhere near a House majority again without gaining ground in suburban and exurban districts. But the party’s difficulty in a trio of districts in Southeast Pennsylvania is a prime example of Democrats’ challenge. 

The Republicans’ grip on the 6th, 7th, and 8th…

Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 25, 2015 · 10:02 AM EDT

Rumors that Kentucky Rep. John Yarmuth was poised to retire or resign were hot and heavy right up until the moment the Democratic congressman announced his re-election bid on Monday. But the public uncertainty provided a brief glimpse into what the race to replace him might look like when…

Michigan 7: Democrats Target Walberg (Again)

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 17, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats knocked off GOP Rep. Tim Walberg in one historic presidential election cycle and hope they can do it again in 2016. 

Walberg is one of those Republican incumbents that Democrats love to hate. They don’t like how he defeated a moderate Republican in a primary, how Walberg knocked…