First House Ratings of the 2026 Cycle

March 7, 2025 · 2:25 PM EST

Toss-up
AZ 6 (Ciscomani, R)
CA 13 (Gray, D)
CA 45 (Tran, D)
CO 8 (Evans, R)
IA 1 (Miller-Meeks, R)
MI 7 (Barrett, R)
NC 1 (Davis, D)
NY 17 (Lawler, R)
PA 7 (Mackenzie, R)
VA 2 (Kiggans, R)

Tilt Democratic
CA 47 (Min, D)
ME 2 (Golden, D)
MI 8 (McDonald Rivet, D)
NM 2 (Vasquez, D)
NY 4 (Gillen, D)
TX 34 (Gonzalez, D)
WA 3 (Perez, D)

Tilt Republican
AZ 1 (Schweikert, R)
MI 10 (James, R)
NE 2 (Bacon, R)
NJ 7 (Kean Jr., R)
PA 10 (Perry, R)
WI 3 (Van Orden, R)

Lean Democratic
CA 21 (Costa, D)
CA 27 (Whitesides, D)
CA 49 (Levin, D)
CA 9 (Harder, D)
FL 23 (Moskowitz, D)
IN 1 (Mrvan, D)
MN 2 (Craig, DFL)
NH 1 (Pappas, D)
NJ 9 (Pou, D)
NV 1 (Titus, D)
NV 3 (Lee, D)
NV 4 (Horsford, D)
NY 19 (Riley, D)
NY 3 (Suozzi, D)
OR 5 (Bynum, D)
TX 28 (Cuellar, D)
VA 7 (Vindman, D)

Lean Republican
CA 22 (Valadao, R)
CA 40 (Kim, R)
CA 41 (Calvert, R)
IA 3 (Nunn, R)
PA 8 (Bresnahan, R)

Likely Democratic
CA 25 (Ruiz, D)
IL 17 (Sorensen, D)
MI 3 (Scholten, D)
NH 2 (Goodlander, D)
NY 18 (Ryan, D)
NY 22 (Mannion, D)
PA 17 (Deluzio, D)


Likely Republican
AK AL (Begich, R)
AZ 2 (Crane, R)
CA 3 (Kiley, R)
CO 5 (Crank, R)
FL 13 (Luna, R)
IA 2 (Hinson, R)
MI 4 (Huizenga, R)
NY 21 (Stefanik, R)
PA 1 (Fitzpatrick, R)
TX 15 (De La Cruz, R)
VA 1 (Wittman, R)
WI 1 (Steil, R)